Monday, 18 July 2016

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Hapeol Be’er Sheva Champions League Match Preview And Prediction - July 20, 2016


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Hapeol Be’er Sheva won the Israeli Premier League for the first time in 40 years last season so the UEFA Champions League 2nd qualfying round represents a huge occasion for them. Last weeks 3-2 win at home to Sheriff in the first leg was their first competitive fixture since May and the closing match of the season where they beat Bnei Sakhnin 3-1 at home to clinch the title.

Sheriff won last years Moldovian National Division and have been more regular participants in European competition over recent year. Sheriff have had a fair amount of success in the qualifying rounds of the Champions League, although they’ve never reached the group phase. They have got through to the third qualifying round in all of their last 13 attempts, which, though an impressive record, is going to be a challenge for them this time out as they stand 3-2 down on aggregate.

Hapeol Be’er Sheva have shown they are a much improved side, first and foremost by taking the title away from a strong Maccabi Tel Aviv side, who made the Champions League group stage last year. Hapeol Be’er Sheva showed they could handle the occasion in the first leg, recovering from a early Sheriff goal and having the lion’s share of the chances throughout the match. Hapeol Be’er Sheva would be coming into this with a much stronger advantage if it weren’t for the mishap involving goalkeeper David Goresh. Sheriff showed their anxiety and a wreckless 89th minute foul in the penalty the area opened the door for Radi from Hapeol Be’er Sheva to score and take the 3-2 win.

Combining this analysis with the statistics below, we expect Hapeol Be’er Sheva to play the defensive while Sheriff more offensive. Sheriff need a win and a 1-0 or 2-1 win would qualify them due to away goals, while Hapeol Be’er Sheva are through with just a draw. Hapeol Be’er Sheva’s higher quality football and control of the game means Hapeol Be’er Sheva Asian Handicap 0.0,+0.5 at 1.900 seems a safe bet for this match and a 1-1 draw at 5/1 with bet365 to be top value bets for this match.

Hapeol Be’er Sheva's 3-2 win at home to Sheriff in the first leg was the first and only time the two sides have previously met.

Hapeol Be’er Sheva have won all 5 of their last 5 fixtures (2 competitive and 3 preseason friendly matches). 4 of Hapeol Be’er Sheva's last 5 matches and 3 of Sheriff's last 4 home matches had over 2.5 goals scored.

Sheriff welcomed back Brazilian forward Ricardinho in the first leg. He spent the second half of last season in the UAE and scored 20 goals in 23 games for the Moldovans in the 2014-15 season. Kosovo defender Fidan Aliti will, however, sit this match out suspended for his yellow/red sending off in the reverse fixture.

Hapeol Be’er Sheva have made very few changes so far this summer and a very familiar starting 11 featured in the first leg of this tie with Nigerian Anthony Nwakaeme (11 goals in 29 appearances) leading up front.

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