Saturday, 3 June 2017

Juventus vs Real Madrid Live Stream UEFA Champions League Final Match Preview & Betting Prediction 2017

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UEFA Champions league final between Juventus and Real Madrid. One thing interests me while I was researching a pick for this match. Juventus have been solid at the back. Can you imagine a must-win Barcelona at home playing barren? That came with consequence though as the ground suffered and there were cards flying all around (11 cards in-between the two legs). Bookies are right to think there will be a lot of cards today but the odds are short on that so talking value, I’d have to look elsewhere still under card betting.

Going through the 2014 to 2017 seasons in champion’s league, Juventus have earned an average of 1.95 card points per match while Real Madrid have earned an average of 1.42 card points per match. This infers that Juventus play more aggressive than Real Madrid.

Juventus’s card scores towards Spanish teams is particularly noteworthy-

11/04/17 Juventus vs Barcelona (4:3)
22/11/17 Sevilla vs Juventus (4:4)
08/12/15 Sevilla vs Juventus (0:2)
05/15/15 Juventus vs real Madrid (4:3)
01/10/14 Atletico vs Juventus (2:6)

Also, In the last 19 UEFA league matches, 12 of the 19 matches ended with team earning more card points than Real Madrid. Real Madrid have actually also demonstrated same in matches somewhat similar to this one.

I believe Juventus will be more aggressive; they want to win the Champion’s league again while on the other hand, Real Madrid could be counting more on an attacking football (than Juventus) to have their way. This bet offers us a refund incase both sides tie on card and I consider that a big value!


Each odds above 1.80 has value for me.

MAX LIMIT per CLICK on BET365 is 12 500 eur.

Champions League Final - Cardiff

Basic elements of bet:

- Odds has value.
- Juventus is a more compact team with a better defensive line.
- Juventus coach Allegi is much more experienced than Zdane and tactical Juventus is a better team.
- Real is individually perhaps a better team, but defensive line is a weaker part of the team and receives too much light goals.
- Both teams have no major problems with players absences.

Possibile lineup of Juventus: Buffon, Barzagli, Bonucci, Chiellini, Sandro, Khedira, Pjanic, Alaves, Dybala, Manđukic, Higuain
Possibile lineup of Real Madrid: Navas, Varane, Ramos, Marcelo, Carvajal, Kroos, Casemiro, Modric, Isco, Ronaldo, Benzema

My opinion is that Juventus has a bigger chance of winning the title of Champions League than is current odds.

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