It may be early days but already you have to say that America MG look distinctly like a side heading for an immediate return to Serie B. After 12 games they are rooted to the foot of the table and already are 5 points from safety. They’ve lost 5 of their last 6 games including all of their last 3 matches and right now there are precious few positives for the Belo Horizonte club. 7 of their opening 12 matches have actually been at home and it’s hard to see them getting anything from this game or next weekend’s trip to Sao Paulo so they could be in really sticky position come this time next week. They currently have the worst goalscoring record in the league and joint worst defensive record so these are bleak times for the newly promoted club and their new coach Sérgio Vieira.
It has not been a great couple of weeks for their opponents either though. They suffered late heartbreak in the derby with city rivals Coritiba in midweek and have only taken 1 point from their last 3 matches. They are though still just inside the top half and given they play on Saturday as opposed to most sides who play on Sunday this weekend, Atletico PR could in theory jump as high as 4th with a big victory here as they’ve already amassed plenty of points after a really strong start to the campaign.
They should be able to get back on track here. America look like they could spend most of the season propping up the division. They’ve sacrificed attacking intent in their 3 recent matches which have all been against very strong sides in the shape of Palmeiras, Corinthians and Atletico Mineiro. They lost all 3 games to nil but here they are likely to be a bit bolder against a side that may give them a few chances. They did score in their first 4 away games but only have 1 point on the road so far and have conceded 3 goals in 3 of their 5 matches away from home this term.
Atletico PR have scored twice or more in 3 of their last 6 games and in tougher circumstances than this. At home to the bottom club, backing Atletico PR to score over 1.5 goals at 4/5 looks like a solid bet.
This fixture hasn't been played all that often over the years but when it has in recent times it has been an absolute goal-fest! Atletico PR won the most recent meeting 5-4 in Serie B in 2012. There have been over 2.5 goals in all of the last 5 meetings and over 4.5 goals in 3 of them. Atletico PR have scored 10 goals in their last 3 home games against America.
America have conceded on average 2.4 goals per game so far on the road in Serie A. Atletico PR have won their last 4 home games.
Forward Pablo is out through suspension so Anderson Lopes or Giovanny should come in. Hermani who has netted twice this season returns from a ban though.
New signing Gilson is likely to start, allowing Danilo to play in a wider role. Artur has left the club for Goias.
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