Wednesday, 27 July 2016

Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Porto Club Friendly Match Preview And Prediction - July 27, 2016


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Bayer Leverkusen have had a successful summer break with regards to recruiting new players since their 3rd place finish in the Bundesliga last season. Winger/striker Kevin Volland, who contributed a steady 36 goals over 4 seasons for Hoffenheim and midfielder Julian Baumgartlinger of Mainz 05, are two such notable signings that will help strengthen and support the already dangerous Javier “Chicharito” Hernandez, Calhanoglu and Bellarabi. Kevin Volland is already making solid indications that he is fitting soundly into the side as the €17 million man has hit the back of the net five times in three preseasons so far, scoring a hat-trick in his first appearance against fifth-tier side Delbrucker SC.

Porto also finished 3rd last season, although in the Portugese Primeira Liga, and were a massive 15 points behind the eventual champions Benfica. There are a lot of question marks and uncertainty surrounding potential changes in the Porto side this summer. Dutch international defender Bruno Martins Indi is reportedly keen on a switch to Premier League side Everton while midfielder Ruben Neves is tipped with a switch to Liverpool. Demand from some of Europe’s elite clubs means some of Porto’s “star” players may be absent for this fixture.

Roger Schmidt’s Bayer Leverkusen have been impressive and definitely more structured than Porto in their preseasons so far. Leverkusen have made a lot of their transfers early and are already forming strong partnerships within the squad. Javier “Chicharito” Hernandez has started alongside new signings Kevin Volland and Danny Da Costa on the wings, while Bellarabi has been playing more of a number 10 role in all of their preseasons so far. Kevin Volland has been notably impressive and Leverkusen have won 4-0 in back-to-back matches as a result. We feel this strategy should hold up against better opponents.

Combining this analysis with the statistics below, we expect over 2.5 goals at 3/5 with bet365 to be a safe bet and Bayer Leverkusen to win 2-1 at 8/1 with bet365 to be a top value correct score bet in this match.

This friendly represents the first meeting between the two sides.

Porto have scored 4 goals in their 3 preseason friendlies so far (1.33 goals per game) and Bayer Leverkusen have scored 9 goals in their 3 preseason friendlies so far (3 goals per game).

Bayer Leverkusen have made a couple of big signings so far this summer: German winger Kevin Volland (8 goals in 23 appearances) is the big one, signed from Hoffenheim for €17m, alongside Austrian midfielder Julian Baumgartlinger from Mainz 05 for €6m. Goalkeeper Ramazan Ozcan and defender Danny Da Costa also made their way to Leverkusen from fellow Bundesliga side FC Ingolstadt.

Porto's Dutch international defender Bruno Martins Indi and midfielder Ruben Neves are both in demand from Europe's elite clubs but are yet to transfer. Porto have, however, signed Brazilian defender Felipe from Corinthians for a reported €6m which could indicate an available position.

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