Sunday, 17 July 2016

Gefle IF vs Kalmar FF Swedish Allsvenskan Match Preview And Prediction - July 18, 2016


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Gefle are looking in bad shape coming to the mid-point in the season of the Swedish Allsvenskan. Coach Thomas Andersson and his said have a meager 5 points from all 13 matches so far in the league (W1 D2 L10), their only win coming back in March. Since the 2nd matchday, Gefle have taken just one point and, unsurprisingly, now sit rock bottom in 16th place and 10 points behind Jonkopings and safety.

Kalmar look a bit more comfortable after their 13 matches, though the looming danger of the relegation zone will still be on their mind. Kalmar have 17 points (W4 D5 L4) and stand in 11th place and just 4 points above Hammarby and the relegation playoff position. Kalmar are, however, in top current league form, undefeated in five games and taking a total of 9 points (W2 D3).

Gefle’s poor form can in part be blamed on their “harmless” offence. Gefle have only scored nine goals in 13 matches and only two goals in their last six games, a matter not helped by the fact that they will be without their top scorer Dioh Williams. Gefle are without a win and home yet this season and come into this on the back of 8 consecutive defeats in the league. Kalmer, contrastingly, have won back-to-back matches away from home. Unfortunately for them, the recent departure of striker Marcus Antonsson to Leeds United (10 goals in 12 appearances) is a game changer which will likely see them scoring fewer for the time being.

Combining this analysis with the statistics below, we expect under 2.5 goals scored to be the safe bet and Kalmar 1-0 at 7/1 with bet365 to be the top value correct score bet for this match.

Kalmar won 3-1 at home the last time the two sides met in 2015. Over the last 6 meetings between the two sides, Kalmar comes out ahead with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat against Gefle.

Gefle have lost their last 8 consecutive Allsvenskan matches. Gefle have conceded at least one goal in 86% of their home matches and Kalmar have scored at least 1 goal in 83% of their away matches. Both teams have scored in 57% of Gefle's home and 67% of Kalmar's away matches.

Gefle are without Dioh Williams (3 goals in 10 appearances), who picked up an injury in last Saturday's fixture at home to Falkenburg.

Kalmar are without midfielder Papa Diouf (3 goals in 7 appearances), Tobias Eriksson and Filip Sachpekidis all out due to injury. Also top scorer Marcus Antonsson (10 goals in 12 appearances) has departed Kalmar for Leeds United.

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