Sunday 27 November 2016

Palmeiras vs Chapecoense Live Stream Brazilian Serie A Match Preview & Prediction 2016

Palmeiras need just one point from their final two games to win the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A and they may not even need that with Santos, the only side that can catch them, facing a tough game at 3rd place Flamengo. This should turn into a carnival atmosphere as the Sao Paulo side ought to have no trouble getting the point they need to win the title.

Their chances are helped further by the fact that Chapecoense are likely to rotate their team heavily with the 1st Leg of their Copa Sudamericana final to come in midweek. They don’t have much left to play for in the league so wholesale changes are expected and at home against a second-string Chape side, Palmeiras should have no trouble getting the job done. Even with their full quota, Chapecoense concede quite a lot of goals. They’ve conceded 1.72 goals per game on their travels this term and have the worst overall defensive record outside the bottom six. They do though have a goal in them and both teams have scored in 61% of their matches this term and 72% of their games on the road.

Both teams have scored in 53% of Palmeiras matches this season too so an away goal can’t be ruled out here but the hosts should still claim the 3 points. They’ve won 72% of their home matches this season in the league, suffering only one defeat at Allianz Parque. They’ve averaged 1.64 goals per game, a record only one side can better and up against a weakened Chape side, it’s hard to see them not creating enough chances to put this game to bed.

This will be the final home game of Gabriel Jesus before his move to Manchester City so he’ll be keen to perform well and it promises to be the perfect send-off. Everything is in place for Palmeiras to claim the title here and with two attacking sides on display, backing Palmeiras to win & over 2.5 goals at 5/4 looks to offer value.

Head To Head
5 of the last 6 meetings have been won by the side playing at home. Palmeiras have won their last 2 home games against Chapecoense but have lost 3 of the last 6 clashes overall.

Palmeiras vs Chapecoense Stats
There have been over 2.5 goals in 67% of Chape away games. Palmeiras average 2.39 points per game at home.

Palmeiras Team News
Yerry Mina and Tchê Tchê are both doubts for the hosts. Edu Dracena and Fabiano could replace them while Erik looks like he will be preferred to Roger Guedes up front.

Chapecoense Team News
Caio Júnior may rotate ahead of the first leg of the Copa Sud-Americana final. Alan Ruschel, Artur Maia and Bruno Rangel could all be drafted in.

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