Saturday, 16 July 2016

TSV 1860 Munich vs Borussia Dortmund Club Friendly Match Preview And Prediction - July 16, 2016


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TSV 1860 Munich narrowly avoided relegation from the 2. Bundesliga last season, finishing just 2 points above the relegation zone in 15th place. ‘1860’ have played 4 club friendlies so far this summer ‘1860’, drawing 1-1 at home to Austrian champions FC Basel, followed by 3 away fixtures against lower league Austrian sides. 1860’s most notable performance comes in a 9-0 win away to Austrian 4th league side Pollau.

Borussia Dortmund finished 2nd and 18 points above 3rd place Bayer Leverkusen in last years Bundesliga – champions Bayern Munich were 10 points clear at the top at competition’s end. Dortmund’s last competitive fixture was a chance at redemption in the DFB Pokal (German Cup) final against Bayern Munich, but disappointing Dortmund were defeated on penalties after playing out a 0-0 after 90 mins and extra time. Since then, Dortmund have played and won 3 pre-season friendlies and said goodbye to star midfielders Henrikh Mkhitaryan (11 goals in 28 appearances), who left to join Manchester United on a 4-year contract, and Gundogan, who joined Manchester City.

Borussia Dortmund have been starting strong lineups in their friendlies and bringing on many weaker and less experienced players at half time to benefit all parties. Star striker Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (25 goals in 31 appearances) scored 2 goals within 18 minutes against St. Pauli last Thursday but after 11 half time substitutions a weaker, less experienced Borussia Dortmund side proceeded to concede 2 goals before clinching a late 3-2 winner. Against a weaker side like TSV 1860 Munich, however, Dortmund should be able to hold a bigger lead. Combining this analysis with the statistics below, we expect Borussia Dortmund -1.5 Asian Handicap at 2.075 to be the safe bet in this match and Borussia Dortmund to win 3-1 at 12/1 to be a top value correct score bet.

1860 Munich haven't beat Borussia Dortmund since 2001. Since then the teams have met 7 times with Borussia Dortmund winning 6 and drawing 1.

Borussia Dortmund have scored at least 2 goals in all three of their pre-season club friendlies. Both teams have scored in 2 of 3 of Borussia Dortmund's club friendlies but in only 1 out of all 4 of 1860 Munich's last 4 club friendlies. 1860 Munich won 9-0 in their friendly match against Austrian fourth tier side Pollau 2 weeks back.

1860 Munich parted ways with core defender Christopher Schindler (33 appearances) as he signed for Huddersfield Town in late June. Daniel Adlung (28 appearances) extended his contract the following day to soften the loss of Schindler.

Borussia Dortmund said goodbye to attacking midfielder Henrikh Mkhitaryan, who left the German side to join Manchester United on a 4-year contract. Dortmund opted to give goalkeeper Weidenfeller some match time in their last friendly as Swiss Roman Burki was their first choice goalkeeper throughout last season.

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