Friday, 15 July 2016

Universidad San Martin vs Sporting Cristal Peru Primera División Match Preview And Prediction - July 17, 2016


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Universidad San Martin will feel unlucky to bring no points back from their visit to Melgar last Sunday, where they were defeated 1-0 despite having more chances and shots on target. Juan Aurich’s point picked up in a 0-0 draw to Alianza Lima was enough to leapfrog Universidad in the Clausura table and seeing Universidad slide to bottom in 16th place. Universidad chances are fading in the relegation fight as they sit 15th placed in the overall league table, 4 points behind Ayacucho and safety with over half of the Clausura fixtures behind them.

Sporting Cristal, contrastingly, have showed their strength and continued their class into the “Clausura” phase of the Copa Movistar (Peruvian Primera Division). In the overall table, Sporting Cristal have been slowly gaining ground on the 9 point difference league leaders Universitario, champions of the “Apertura” phase, had on them since the Clausura phase began. Sporting Cristal sit now just 1 point behind Universitario and have got themselves back on track (W1 D1) since their disappointing 2-0 defeat to local rivals Allianza Lima a few weeks back.

Sporting Cristal are very much the inform side and Universidad have an ever-increasing hill to climb in their attempt to recover from their disastrous year so far. Sporting Cristal have won their last 3 consecutive away matches and 5 from their last 7 on the road (W5 L2), form that is not often seen away from home in the Peruvian leagues. Despite their poor overall form, Universidad can at least take solace in the fact they have scored at least 1 goal in 5 consecutive home matches. Sporting Cristal better this statistic, not failing to score away from home in 8 consecutive away matches across all competitions. Combining the analysis above with the statistics below, we expect both teams to score at at 8/11 with bet365 to be the safe bet and Sporting Cristal to win 2-1 at 17/2 with bet365 to be a top value correct score bet.

Universidad San Martin drew 1-1 against Sporting Cristal in the Apertura phase of the Peruvian Primera Division from earlier in 2016. Sporting Cristal, however, hold a solid record against Universidad over the last 7 meetings, with 4 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 defeat.

Both teams have scored in 5 consecutive of Universidad San Martin's home matches and 4 out of the last 5 of Sporting Cristal's away matches. Sporting Cristal have won their last 3 consecutive away matches. 55% of Universidad's home and 64% of Sporting Cristal's away matches have ended with over 2.5 goals scored.

Universidad San Martin are still without Marcos Rivadero, who serves the 2nd of his 3 match ban for his straight red card in their fixture against Cesar Vallejo. Top scoring midfielder C. Ortiz (7 goals in 20 appearances) and midfielder Cartagena, should return to the lineups after serving suspensions last match.

Midfielder J. Ballon is made his return to the squad after suspension last match in Sporting Cristal's 1-1 draw against Cesar Vallejo. Midfielder Cazulo will, however, make place for him missing this match to suspension for his 5th yellow card last time out.

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