Guimaraes shocked everyone with their fourth place finish last term and run to the Portuguese Cup final. They’ll want to build on that this week, especially after their loss at Estoril last time out. They never really got going in that game, but they’ll be glad to return to home surroundings.
The hosts won eight of their 17 matches here in Liga Nos last term, and that form should help them to trouble Sporting. The visitors were particularly weak against top sides on the road, conceding away to all of the top eight last season. That puts them in a tough position here, especially with one eye on their midweek Champions League trip.
Sporting did score at all of those top eight sides, so we expect both teams to score here. These two shared two score draws in the league last season, and both are defensively weaker this time around. Sporting saw both teams score in 65% of their away league games last term, so that bet seems worth backing at 4/5 with bet365.
We’re also backing the hosts to get a result, not just because Sporting need to split focus with Europe. While the home side lost away last weekend, they lost just four of their home games last term. Two of those came against the top two, while they avoided defeat in every game they scored in. That makes the hosts look like value on the double chance market at 11/10 with bet365. We’re also backing a 2-1 home win at a huge 14/1 with bet365.
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon Stats
Guimaraes have won five of their last six at home in the league. Sporting lost by a single goal in 75% of their away defeats in the league last term.
Vitoria Guimaraes Team News
Josue and Vigario were both sent off in the defeat to Estoril, so they both sit out here.
Sporting Lisbon Team News
William Carvalho misses out as he's on the verge of a move to West Ham. Alan Ruiz is a doubt for the visitors, who may make changes ahead of a crucial Champions League game this week. Watch Live stream free Click Here | Link 2#
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