Sunday, 3 July 2016

Internacional vs Gremio Football Match Preview And Prediction - July 3, 2016


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The Porto Alegre derby is one of the most fiercely and evenly contested in Brazil. The Grenal as the fixture is known has been played over 400 times with Inter shading the head-t0-head by 152 wins to 126. This season again there isn’t much to choose between the teams with Gremio currently in 3rd place and 1 point above Internacional who are 4th.

Gremio come into the game in slightly the better mood though. They picked up an excellent 3-2 win over in-form Santos in midweek with Marcelo Hermes netting a last gasp winner for Gremio who had been pegged back to 2-2 having led 2-0. They were beaten on the road last weekend though going down 2-0 against Atletico PR and lost 2-1 at home to Vitoria prior to that so there are still doubts about Gremio.

Internacional have the more to worry about right now though. After a very strong start to the campaign they have picked up just 1 point from their last 4 fixtures. Defeats against Figueirense, Botafogo and Flamengo have really set them back and made them perhaps re-jig their ambitions for the current campaign. The 3-2 home defeat to newly promoted Botafogo was a real surprise given they are normally very tough to beat on home soil even against the strongest sides.

Because this is a derby, some will argue that the form book doesn’t count for as much but the fact that Inter have looked so uncharacteristically weak at the back of late is a factor. Gremio have some dangerous attacking players and are well capable of causing their rivals problems. Given Inter have never been a side that has scored a great deal of goals they struggle to win matches when their defence isn’t performing well which is certainly the case right now. Therefore backing Double Chance – Draw or Gremio at 8/11 looks like the way to go here.

Head To Head
The sides drew 0-0 in their only meeting so far this year in their state competition. Inter have won 4 of their last 5 home games against Gremio and are undefeated in 8 at home to their rivals.

Stats
Gremio have only lost 2 of their last 7 away games in Serie A. Inter have scored more than once in only 6 of their last 21 league matches. They've conceded 8 goals in their last 4 matches.

Team News

Fabinho returns from suspension and will bolster their midfield, which is where this game may be won or lost.

Top scorer Luan has a knock but is set to play while Gremio are also boosted by the return from injury of Miller Bolaños and Pedro Rocha.

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